Hillary Will Be Crushed

Hillary Will be Crushed

A flurry of polls over the last few months have Hillary Clinton as the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination, and possibly the Presidency in 2008. I think these are misleading. Hillary Clinton doesn’t stand a chance of becoming President of the United States.

I do not deny that Hillary will be a strong early contender in the Democratic primaries. She will almost certainly be the front-runner out of the gate, but it is the long haul that I think will cause her problems. Her most avid supporters have been the far left liberals, and rightly so since she is one of them, but her strategic move to the middle is costing her this support. Without this base a full 35% of the vote in the primaries is guaranteed to go elsewhere. Moderates know her history of supporting a far left agenda and may be reluctant vote for her because of it. Let’s say this costs her 10% of the vote.

At this point there are only 55% of registered Democrats remaining for her to try to snap up into her corner. Where the rest of them go depends on a few things: First is who her opponents are and how many of them there are. If she has several opponents, and all of her opponents are Howard Dean clones then she will probably take the nomination in a walk. However, if she is running against a small, select group of elite Democrats who cover the spectrum then she will be in serious trouble and may well come in second or third. Second is the tactics her opponents use against her. The obvious attack will be that has turned her back on the base by running to the center a full four years before the election. As we have seen in the 2004 election a Democrat cannot win without the loony left, and they are becoming increasingly unhappy with Hillary. Others may try to discredit her overall by painting her as unreliable for any demographic for the same reasons.

Hillary Clinton will get creamed in the general election if she does win the primaries. Despite her supposed popularity she has far more enemies than friends, and a long history of shady activities that will alienate moderates once the Republicans bombard the airwaves with them. She is so despised by conservatives that it can reasonably be expected that a myriad of 527 groups will throw fortunes into ads that attack Hillary and support her opponent. The Republican base will be as motivated to vote against her as the Democrat base was to vote against George W. Bush.

She is counting on the woman vote to carry her through the election, but it won’t work. Truth be told many women can’t stand her, many love her, but many despise her. It can be expected that she will get a higher-than-average portion of the woman vote, but it will be offset by her getting a lower-than-average portion of the men’s vote. See, very few men like Hillary Clinton.

To top it all off, SHE IS A CLINTON! While this guarantees her victory in the most liberal states in the Union, it guarantees her failure in what will probably 40 states. She can thank her husband for this. By the time he left office America was pretty well fed-up with the Clintons. I doubt eight years will have changed much.

So what about the polls? They mean nothing four years out. Hillary Clinton will get a higher-than-average rating in such early polls because she is America’s most famous Democrat, more famous than any of the likely Republican challengers. As the Presidential hopefuls begin their campaigns and their names become known this will all change. Only then can we hope for polls that accurately reflect how the nation will vote. Want proof? Two Republicans already beat Hillary Clinton in the polls; John McCain and Rudy Giuliani, the most famous Republicans in America behind George Bush. Both are more liberal than Bush, and both are more conservative that Clinton.

America is tired of liberalism. This fatigue grows more with the continued hateful onslaught of the far left against everything that is good and right in this country. These people are the liberal base, and they are their own worst enemy.